تراجع دعم ترامب إلى 31% مسجلاً أدنى مستوى في السجل، مع مخاوف من فقدان共和党 السيطرة على مجلس النواب في Nationwide Midterm

According to a France 24 report dated October 20, 2026, U.S. President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 31%, a record low. The report directly linked this to the November midterm elections: the Republican Party faces growing concerns and risks losing control of the House of Representatives.

For the Republican Party, 31% represents the first seat-warning signal. With presidential approval at a record low, the central issue in the midterm elections is whether Republicans can convert the president’s political support into stable congressional votes. National approval ratings cannot be directly converted into changes in seat numbers, but the weakening of presidential popularity will undoubtedly increase pressure on Republicans to hold seats in swing districts.

The available material did not identify the polling organization behind the 31% figure, the sample size, survey period, questionnaire design or margin of error, nor did it provide seat projections for either party. France 24 therefore confirmed that Republicans face the risk of losing control of the House of Representatives, rather than that the outcome is already decided. Control of the House will still depend on competition in swing states and individual districts.

If Republicans lose the House in November, the executive branch will face greater constraints in advancing its agenda, and the ruling party will become more reliant on negotiations with the Democrats. Whether Trump’s approval rating can stop falling, and whether Republicans can defend marginal seats, will together determine whether the risks facing the midterm elections ultimately materialize.