Trump’s Approval Rating Falls to Record-Low 31%, Putting Republicans at Risk of Losing the House in Midterms

France 24 reported on October 20, 2026, that President Donald Trump’s approval rating had fallen to 31%, a record low. The report directly linked the figure to the November midterms, saying Republicans were facing heightened concerns and a risk of losing control of the House.

For Republicans, the 31% figure first sounds an alarm about seats. With the president’s approval rating at a record low, whether the Republican Party can translate his political support into stable congressional votes has become a central issue in the midterms. National approval ratings cannot be directly converted into changes in seat totals, but Trump’s weakening popularity will undoubtedly increase pressure on the party to hold seats in swing districts.

The available material does not disclose the polling organization behind the 31% figure, sample size, survey dates, questionnaire design or margin of error, and it provides no seat projections for either party. France 24 therefore confirmed that Republicans face a risk of losing control of the House, not that the outcome is already decided. Control of the House will still depend on competition in swing states and individual districts.

If Republicans lose the House in November, the executive branch will face greater constraints in advancing its agenda, while the party in power will become more reliant on negotiating with Democrats. Whether Trump’s approval rating can stop falling, and whether Republicans can hold narrowly held seats, will jointly determine whether the risks facing the party in the midterms ultimately materialize.